At this late stage, Labor are still performing very badly in the polls. To add insult to injury, it seems like Gillard's comment about "men in blue ties" has put male voters offside, resulting in 1/4 of Labor's male vote disappearing, without a significant increase in female voters. Not surprising either. It is hard to imagine how she would not forsee the consequences of saying that, but for some reason she said it.
It seems like a lot of the public think that the current government under Gillard has gone a "bridge too far" on many issues. They've even managed to get doctors offside by cuts to Medicare and a $2000 per year limit on Continuing Professional Development! It is almost certain that if nothing changes, Tony Abbott will be the next prime minister. There is talk of Kevin Rudd getting more support within the Labor caucus, but after last year's endorsement of Gillard by the caucus 71:31, it seems like Rudd does not want to challenge again without the public support of most ministers, while Gillard does not want to give up her position.
It will be interesting to see how things play out. If Labor is to win, they need a "fair shake of the sauce bottle".
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